Imagine setting $1 billion on fire - that's what Bill Gates warned Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, about investing in OpenAI. But this bold move has since paid off big time.
In 2019, Microsoft took a leap of faith and invested $1 billion in OpenAI, a relatively new company at the time. Since then, Microsoft has poured over $13 billion into the ChatGPT maker. Nadella reveals that getting that initial investment approved wasn't a walk in the park.
"Even within Microsoft, you need board approval to just throw a billion dollars like that. But I must say, it wasn't too difficult to convince people that this was a crucial and risky endeavor," Nadella shared in an interview with TPBN, a tech-focused YouTube channel.
Nadella further explained, "In hindsight, who could have predicted such success? I didn't invest a billion dollars thinking it would become a hundred-fold return."
And this is where it gets interesting. Nadella reveals that even Bill Gates, the co-founder of Microsoft, had his reservations about investing in OpenAI back in 2019. "Remember, this was a nonprofit, and Bill even said, 'Yeah, you're going to burn this billion dollars,'" Nadella recalled.
But Microsoft took the risk, driven by a high tolerance for uncertainty. "We said we wanted to give it a shot," Nadella added.
Since then, OpenAI has come a long way. In November 2022, it released an early demo of ChatGPT, which went viral on social media, gaining a million users within just five days. Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, announced at the company's DevDay conference on October 6 that "more than 800 million people use ChatGPT every week."
On Tuesday, OpenAI announced the completion of its restructuring. Its nonprofit arm, OpenAI Foundation, will now oversee OpenAI Group PBC, a new public benefit corporation. With these changes, Microsoft holds a 27% stake, valued at approximately $135 billion, in OpenAI's for-profit business.
Microsoft's shares have seen a significant boost, up nearly 29% year to date.
So, was Bill Gates' warning a mere cautionary tale, or did he truly foresee the potential risks of investing in OpenAI? What do you think? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below!